Archive for November, 2006

Veterans day

Saturday, November 11th, 2006

My father

If you did not when I posted it last year, please go into the Deep Blade archives and read my late father’s 1946 account of his Atlantic crossing during WWII entitled Troopship.

The tide was rapidly coming in and the liner was rising above the pier, making the gangplank a miniature problem in mountain climbing. A wool uniform and boots did not help one to forget that it was August. Here is a partial inventory of the items with which I was to “pass quickly”, as the announcer so blithely informed us, up that incline: one caliber 45 sub-machine gun, seventeen thirty-round clips for same, field pack complete with entrenching tools, gas-mask, and steel helmet, all draped around the neck and each in a competition to close the normal channels of air. Perched above all, one balanced his duffel bag containing extra uniforms, gas-resistant clothing, more boots and an array of personal effects.

“Is this trip necessary?” quirked a voice. We made the grade….

My dad returned from the war with his body in tact, but his being was changed forever. They used to call it shell shock, now it’s better known as PTSD. As a result of growing up with this great and gentle man as my father, I have felt from a very young age that there is always a better way than war to solve political problems. Nothing makes me angrier than to hear a White House chickenhawk like Dick Cheney try to tell me otherwise.

Friday Garden Blogging

Friday, November 10th, 2006

Bare


Lonely leaf on the maple tree

During this week, it did not seem very much like winter was on the way. The temperatures stayed up in the ten degree neighborhood most of the time, even at night. Still, the leaves are down and the wind has a bit of a bite today.

New US direction on Iraq

Thursday, November 9th, 2006

De-democrify, re-Baathify

We will not set an artificial timetable for leaving Iraq, because that would embolden the terrorists and make them believe they can wait us out. We are in Iraq to achieve a result: A country that is democratic, representative of all its people, at peace with its neighbors, and able to defend itself. And when that result is achieved, our men and women serving in Iraq will return home with the honor they have earned.

President George W. Bush
State of the Union Address
February 2, 2005


Q Thank you, Mr. President. Does the departure of Don Rumsfeld signal a new direction in Iraq? A solid majority of Americans said yesterday that they wanted some American troops, if not all, withdrawn from Iraq. Did you hear that call, and will you heed it?

THE PRESIDENT: Terry, I’d like our troops to come home, too, but I want them to come home with victory, and that is a country that can govern itself, sustain itself and defend itself. And I can understand Americans saying, come home. But I don’t know if they said come home and leave behind an Iraq that could end up being a safe haven for al Qaeda. I don’t believe they said that. And so, I’m committed to victory. I’m committed to helping this country so that we can come home.

President George W. Bush
Press Conference
November 8, 2006

Maureen Dowd has it about right:

W. has stopped talking about democracy as a standard of success in Iraq; yesterday, he said that Iraq had to “govern itself, sustain itself and defend itself.”

Joe Klein generally is pretty moronic. Still, an interview with Klein on the CNN Anderson Cooper 360 program Thursday night amplified Dowd’s point and peaked my interest. He claimed good sources were giving him the jist of the “new” post-Rumsfeld, Democrat-Congress-era Iraq policy:

COOPER: Yes, Joe, what are you hearing? Is there room for compromise on Iraq?

KLEIN: Well, there are big changes coming down the pike on Iraq.

I think that naming Bob Gates is — is just the — the tip of the iceberg. What I am hearing from military and intelligence people is that there is — that there is a desire to move away from democracy, from emphasizing democracy, to emphasizing stability.

One very high-ranking Bush administration official in the national security area said to me today, it’s a Mick Jagger moment. You can’t always get what you want. The question is whether we can get what we need.

Now, we don’t — we don’t need…

COOPER: Did he actually put it in those terms?

KLEIN: Absolutely.

(LAUGHTER)

COOPER: But what does it mean, move away from democracy, move towards stability?

KLEIN: Well, I think that, you know, the — the current government in — in Iraq is next thing to a joke.

I mean, right now, Maliki’s main source of support is the radical cleric…

COOPER: Right, Muqtada al-Sadr.

KLEIN: … Muqtada al-Sadr.

And the big question our government has to face now in Iraq is whether we want Muqtada al-Sadr to be the de facto leader of Arab Iraq, non-Kurdish Iraq, or do we want to have someone more amenable to our point of view, someone who might unite the — the — the Iraqi military? There is some talk of bringing back a lot of the Baathists who we dispersed — you know, who we dispersed, when we dispersed the army. That was the…

COOPER: Sort of re-Baathify the country.

KLEIN: Right. Right.

Thomas Friedman said some years ago (just after the first Glf War) that what was needed in Iraq was a dictator who ruled just like Saddam but was not Saddam. With the old daddy-Bush era people coming back, looks like that policy preference may be coming back too. Meanwhile, the Democrats seem to hate the notion that anti-war sentiment had anything to do with putting them back in control of Congress, so they won’t be much of a brake on what the President wants to do.

We may soon witness the end of the purple finger project in Iraq.

Pressure the Democrats–now!

Wednesday, November 8th, 2006

Bruce Gagnon is a smart man

While Rahm Emanuel tries to dig its grave with a backhoe, Gagnon asks rhetorically,

So what does the peace movement do now?

We must continue to call for immediate withdrawal from Iraq. We must call for a 50% cut in military spending and conversion of the military industrial complex. We must call for an end to Star Wars research and development funding which now stands at about $10 billion a year.

We must also call for investigations of Bush-Cheney for impeachable offenses. We must call for repeal of the Patriot Act and the recent Military Commissions Act - the torture bill.

We have to call out loudly and strongly for universal national health care and for new federal election laws that sets one national standard to ensure fair voting.

There are many more things that must now be advanced by the peace, justice, environmental, labor, and women’s movements. And we must be impatient with the Democrats.

Otherwise, it’ll take no time at all for the Democrats to play directly into Bush’s bloody hands.

In fact, it’s already happening under the sleazy guidance of Emanuel and Nancy Pelosi. Firedoglake describes how Emanuel is busy “blanketing the establishment media to argue yesterday’s election results were a victory for conservative `blue dog’ Dems, and emphatically not representative of any growing progressive movement.”

See Rabid Lambs, Not Blue Dogs, Won the Election for a good reader explaining exactly why Emanuel and Pelosi are wrong.

Depletion of Nova Scotia gas

Tuesday, November 7th, 2006

Neighborhood future?

This story from The Oil Drum is very interesting to me because natural gas from the Sable Island fields flows through a pipeline less than one mile from our home. It’s used at a pretty new power plant just down the road from here.

Measures presently being taken to keep up the flow of gas will only speed the rate of depletion, as the piece explains.

The curious thing about this diagram is the use of a new colour to show the effect of compression. No new field is involved, so all that compression should do is increase deliverablity, at the expense of more rapid depletion of the reservoirs. It cannot delay output decline indefinitely, and the diagram shows beginnings of decline in late 2008. One would expect that the total output (over all time) would scarcely be affected by compression, so a very rapid decline would be expected after 2008. It is difficult to see how a decline of the output to a very low level can be avoided by the end of the decade or shortly after.

Will there be enough LNG injected in this system by ten years from now to make up the losses from depletion?

Election eve

Monday, November 6th, 2006

Epitome of bad politics

Wolf Blitzer on CNN tonight rambled on about the obvious–the US military disaster in Iraq is the dominant issue in the 2006 mid-term Congressional campaign. This is as it should be. President Bush has led us into a brutal occupation of a weak, battered Middle Eastern country, in the process causing hundreds of thousands of deaths including those of nearly 3000 US military personnel. The Bush Iraq project is an ongoing travesty of death with no end in sight because Bush and his pigheaded administration can’t afford to admit the truth about the disaster, and they refuse to even think about backing away from their neocolonial ambitions.

So, the public doesn’t like what is happening in Iraq and may turn one or both houses of Congress over to the Democrats as a result. But it’ll be a lot closer than it ought to be, probably a nail biter 24 hours from now.

How could the Congressional election be this close given the total mendacity of the Republicans? Even the 2002 war-drum-beating New York Times now explains,

Congress, in particular the House, has failed to ask probing questions about the war in Iraq or hold the president accountable for his catastrophic bungling of the occupation. It also has allowed Mr. Bush to avoid answering any questions about whether his administration cooked the intelligence on weapons of mass destruction. Then, it quietly agreed to close down the one agency that has been riding herd on crooked and inept American contractors who have botched everything from construction work to the security of weapons.

After the revelations about the abuse, torture and illegal detentions in Abu Ghraib, Afghanistan and Guantanamo Bay, Congress shielded the Pentagon from any responsibility for the atrocities its policies allowed to happen….

The answer to the question of why the Republicans are not being swept into oblivion rests on the notion that most Democrats and a large swath of the public at large still seem to think waging aggressive war is a legitimate policy. Mass destruction of civilians and infrastructure hardly registers with Americans who exhibit aggressively pro-war attitudes.

Disenchantment with the war is based to a greater degree on the appearance that America has “botched” a rightful ass kicking of some sort of semi-mythic terrorist force now centered in Iraq than on the horror of endless killing. President Bush has been remarkably successful in implanting erroneous conceptions of what is happening in Iraq than many of us in the peace movement wish to believe. People may not like how things are going with the war and may blame the president. But most Americans accept the president’s description of what the war is. Any discussion of the true picture–that the US has taken and dominated Iraq politically while appropriating control of its economy and resources in a manner that amounts to all-out war against the entire Iraqi population–is entirely off the table.

Home-grown Iraqi resistance has been the deadly wrench dropped into the American war machine. Despite the obvious resulting quagmire, the Republican campaign has been designed to make themselves look like the ones who can lead the homeland to victory over terrorists now emanating from Iraq. The Democrats are accused of surrender for even hinting at “redeployment.”

To accomplish this discourse control, a Rovian dose of un-reality is peddled in Republican campaigns, painting an Iraq story to voters heavy on jingoism and neocolonial conceits.

President Bush hammers away in unreality, painting a world where the last line of protection against hords of maurading terrorists is being held by the US military in Iraq, as he does in this campaign speech.

PRESIDENT BUSH: And Iraq is the central front in this war to protect you. Oh, I’ve heard them in Washington. I know you have, as well. They say, well, Iraq is just a distraction, Iraq is not a part of the war. Well, I don’t believe that, our troops don’t believe that, and Osama bin Laden doesn’t believe that. (Laughter.) He has called the fight in Iraq the third world war. He has said that victory for the terrorists in Iraq will mean America’s defeat and disgrace forever. We need to take his words seriously. It doesn’t matter what party you’re in, you need to listen to the enemy.

There’s people in Washington who believe that when we fight for Iraqi democracy, and when we fight to adhere to the policy, “defeat them there so we don’t have to face them here,” it creates terrorists. In other words, it makes the world more dangerous. But I want to remind you that the reason we’re at war with the terrorists is not because of Iraq. See, we weren’t in Iraq when they bombed the World Trade Center in 1993. We weren’t in Iraq when they bombed our embassies in Kenya and Tanzania. We weren’t in Iraq when they bombed the USS Cole. And we were not in Iraq on the September the 11th, 2001, when they killed nearly 3,000 of our citizens. (Applause.)

Of course if we back one foot out of Iraq, Osama will be unleashed all over America, that’s so obvious To Mr. Bush. On the other hand, surely it cannot be imagined that the extreme civilian death caused by the US occupation is a possible terrorist inspiration. Oh, and history began on 9/11/2001.

In Mr. Bush’s favor, I will say that he is not entirely living in fantasy on this. Doesn’t he have a sophisticated geostrategic rationale for insisting that America must own and dominate the Middle East, its people, and its resources, for our protection?

PRESIDENT BUSH: The enemy has made it abundantly clear that they want us to retreat so they can have, one, safe haven from which to launch further attacks — safe havens similar to that safe haven they had in Afghanistan. Secondly, they want us to retreat so they can topple moderate governments. They want to be able to spread their ideology as far and wide as possible, and they understand our presence prevents them from doing so.

Thirdly, they would like to control energy resources. Imagine a world in which these extremists and radicals, bound together by a hateful ideology, was able to say to the West, to the United States, for example, if you do not abandon your alliances, if you do not withdraw, we will run the price of oil up to the point that chokes your economy. You can imagine somebody saying, abandon Israel, or we will bring you to you knees. Or, get out of our way, or we’ll bring you to your knees. And couple that with a country which doesn’t like us with a nuclear weapon, and people will look back at this period of time, and say, what happened to them in 2006? How come they couldn’t see the danger? What clouded their vision? Well, I want you to know I clearly see the danger. That is why we will fight in Iraq and win in Iraq. (Applause.)

Man, if you let them have their own oil, the next thing that will happen is they’ll rip a page out of an old Soviet playbook and they’ll be running the world through nuclear blackmail! I take back the notion that this is some sort of likely geostrategic reality. It is neocolonial conceit of the worst kind, bordering on racism.

Most Americans know few of the details of what the war has brought. What’s behind those high pole numbers on war disapproval then? I’m now convinced it’s a mistake to read those numbers as a concensus for peace. The American public–in abstration–is as bloodthirsty as ever. That cuts across red states, blue states, liberal and conservative. No, the way I read much of the disapproval is that a lot of Americans want a better war. It’s about a perception that we are not kicking their butts. This is revealed when there is a spasm of gleeful reaction to extrajudicial assassination of Zarqawi and the death sentence–illegal under international law–put on Saddam. It is a relentless “we got him” mentality.

Despite some recent organizing success within the peace movement, we are mostly invisible and mostly ignored in Congress. I’m not hopeful that the American people can be educated and re-oriented. We’d really have to be losing for that to happen–real widespread pain of a kind very few of us yet have had over this war. I’m not trying to suggest 25,000 casualties (US deaths and injuries from the war) is anything but a major sacrifice for those who have had to suffer the losses while the administration fails to care. But, statistically it’s noise.

Will some kind of wave of conscience to come over us in order enable genuine political pressure. So far, the little waves that have happened, like Cindy Sheehan, have been Swiftboated away. In no small measure this is because of hostility from the Democratic and liberal side.

The neoliberal economic program is advancing capped by a “hydrocarbon law” that will ensure decades of concessions to the international oil companies. Total corruption under the occupation government will not be penalized. The entire Development Fund for Iraq vanished, maybe $20 billion. There does not appear to be an authority powerful enough to pursue justice on that one. Meanwhile, the FOXies still hype WMD and Oil-for-Food. It’s grotesque.

Our Mandarins in the White House have great taste for killing. They thought it could work for them in Iraq. They had a plan–raise Iraq’s puppet army, smash Ramadi as was done to Fallujah, punish mercilessly every area with concentrated support for resistance until they say uncle, then intimidate them so they cower in a broken society for the rest of their lives. That looked like the plan anyway, with very few contrary bleats from Democrats.

The Democrats may have a slightly better sense of reality, but they’re very limited. Last year, the Democratic establishment failed to support Congressman John Murtha’s withdrawl call immediately and forcefully. It is shameful that the eventual “timetable” Senator John Kerry came up last summer with could only find 13 Senate Ds.

If the Democrats take any control in Congress tomorrow, a big if, I will not hold my breath waiting for change.

No longer a cakewalk

Saturday, November 4th, 2006

“The greatest strategic disaster in American history”

Despite the efforts of his slippery mouthpiece Tony Snow, President Bush is losing even Kenneth “Cakewalk” Adelman and Richard “Darth Vader” Perle on Iraq:

Neo Culpa
As Iraq slips further into chaos, the war’s neoconservative boosters have turned sharply on the Bush administration, charging that their grand designs have been undermined by White House incompetence. In a series of exclusive interviews, Richard Perle, Kenneth Adelman, David Frum, and others play the blame game with shocking frankness. Target No. 1: the president himself.

ADELMAN: I just presumed that what I considered to be the most competent national-security team since Truman was indeed going to be competent. They turned out to be among the most incompetent teams in the post-war era. Not only did each of them, individually, have enormous flaws, but together they were deadly, dysfunctional.

PERLE: The levels of brutality that we’ve seen are truly horrifying, and I have to say, I underestimated the depravity….[Bush] did not make decisions, in part because the machinery of government that he nominally ran was actually running him.

Perle also worries about “total defeat” and America leaving Iraq a “failed state.” Good Lord, if Bush has lost these guys…

Note: This post sat in draft purgatory for a couple of days.

Friday Garden Blogging

Friday, November 3rd, 2006

Hard frost


Leaves ready for pick-up by the town vacuum cleaner


Last broccoli shoot

This morning was our first trip of the season below -5 degrees Celsius. The leaves were well stripped by a frenetic storm that rolled through last Saturday.

Tidal wave?

Thursday, November 2nd, 2006

Doubting that Democrats will win


Signs in my old neighborhood–Wetterling is a Democrat who forever lost a young son after a bizarre 1989 abduction incident. Bachmann is a scary wingnut Republican who said, “God called me to run for the United States Congress”

A friend from way back in the day from my old home town in Minnesota wrote yesterday,

I saw that Wetterling was up 8 points about two weeks ago and now she’s down 10 points. What the hell is going on in St. Cloud? Is she really fading or is this just bad polling? Some pollsters are now saying that the tide turned over the weekend and we may see a pretty substantial shift toward the Democrats on Tuesday. Somehow Wetterling can’t seem to ride the wave.

Actually, the detailed map and nationwide summary of polling data at Majority Watch shows Wetterling and Bachmann in a dead heat. (In another much-watched Minnesota contest Republican incumbant Gil Gutknecht is up by 3 over his challenger.)

However, even if the Ds lose these races, the interesting thing from this map is w/o election fraud on a truly massive scale, the Republicans are DEAD in the House. They are 21 seats down before you even get to the contested races. Of the 60 contested, the Ds would break 33-27, even giving the Rs the ties, all the weak Rs and half the weak Ds (sorry Patty, Minnesota is a pretty damn red state outside the central Twin Cities). That looks like about a 25-seat majority for the Democrats. I guess you’d call that a tidal wave.

But I worry about election fraud–mainly extreme, massive voter suppression and ballot non-counting in many of these races. Will that be what saves Karl Rove and his boys? Rove has said that he has figures that “add up to a Republican Senate and a Republican House” and that he is “entitled to the math”. What does Rove know that the rest of us don’t?

Meanwhile, here’s one race I really like: OH 15th: Kilroy (D-challenger) 53%, Pryce (R-incumbent in R leadership) 41%. This woman Deborah Pryce is a piece of work, ick! I wrote about her insane remarks on Iraq back in June. She is one of many, many Republicans who richly deserve defeat at the ballot box. If she pulls out a remarkable victory in this Ohio district, red flags of fraud will be waving.

Is this a war?

Wednesday, November 1st, 2006

Of course it is, or not, Bush says so

I’m a great admirer of Jonathan Schwarz, who writes the blog A Tiny Revolution. He has a new piece on Schrödinger’s Cat War published in Mother Jones.

…Why was Gonzales so eager to point out the difference between declaring war outright and authorizing the use of military force? The answers to these questions reveal the Bush administration at its most nakedly, hilariously duplicitous—inventing an entirely new and logic-defying state of being for America, something no one has opposed because no one realized it could exist in the first place.

So, we can be both at war, and not at war at the same time, or we can both authorize and reject torture at the same time. It’s the new quantum of existence for America.